Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-18?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a83ffbf38b06df6d90987a801281e52410b6e23654eb382285222315bb636a5

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $61,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $69,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,392 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbb91…b665backed Yes	50c	10,010$5,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,005	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x083c…3f02backed No	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No	53c	4,732$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	34c	4,639$1,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,558.28	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No	52c	4,242$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes	48c	3,151$1,513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,638.64	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes	49c	3,061$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,561.22	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	48c	2,507$1,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,194.72	755	42.3%319 W · 436 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	50c	2,351$1,182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,168.83	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,083.33	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-3.8wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	47c	1,594$756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.55	2,530	47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L	+43.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes	48c	1,042$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.67	141	38.3%54 W · 87 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	20c	996.29$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.21	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	51c	986.44$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.1	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No	50c	900$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	102	46.1%47 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked No	54c	650$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d12…16c3backed No	51c	626.98$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.76	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	48cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No	51c	523.81$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.14	182	53.8%98 W · 84 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes	50c	510$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	111	46.8%52 W · 59 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Yes	49c	499.99$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.99	125	49.6%62 W · 63 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No	18c	466.74$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.09	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No	11c	464.31$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.2	97	32%31 W · 66 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes	79c	419.74$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.48	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes	49c	400$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204	465	51.8%241 W · 224 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No	52c	384.38$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No	52c	356.32$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.72	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	52c	341$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	670	42.2%283 W · 387 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0168…0905backed Yes	48c	337.9$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.71	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes	46c	326.48$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.3	531	34.5%183 W · 348 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No	52c	303.14$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.63	409	53.3%218 W · 191 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No	49c	299.99$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.99	256	48%123 W · 133 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No	52c	287.21$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes	49c	283.73$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.7	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Yes	54c	276.83$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.83	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	67cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes	68c	237.98$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.02	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes	51c	210.91$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.82	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee3…cab9backed No	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	39cpaid	-65%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17af…2a45backed No	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes	48c	174.41$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.92	845	49%414 W · 431 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No	50c	163.91$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.67	584	46.1%269 W · 315 L	-12.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Yes	71c	140.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes	74c	135.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.14	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26ce…6da3backed Yes	51c	130.77$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.59	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-3.2wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-39%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Yes	78c	128.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.21	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes	77c	124.4$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	146	58.9%86 W · 60 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes	50c	120$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	289	50.9%147 W · 142 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Yes	45c	111.11$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.11	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+4.9wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Yes	45c	111.11$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.11	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+4.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Yes	70c	105.74$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.72	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed No	10c	103.53$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	136	35.3%48 W · 88 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes	44c	100$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	107	47.7%51 W · 56 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yes	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	182	39.6%72 W · 110 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No	52c	94$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.88	277	52.3%145 W · 132 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Yes	47c	93.87$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.75	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-4.9wins	-0.13per pick	34cpaid	-52%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No	45c	84.14$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.24	571	50.4%288 W · 283 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Yes	48c	83.33$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.33	62	25.8%16 W · 46 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc4…7ae7backed No	52c	80$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No	49c	78.02$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.23	1,589	53.3%847 W · 742 L	+39.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes	75c	76.33$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.02	58	69%40 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Yes	51c	70$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.3	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes	44c	68.18$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.18	95	41.1%39 W · 56 L	-9.3wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No	52c	64.43$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	112	50.9%57 W · 55 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed No	52c	62.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.75	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked No	28c	62.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	44	72.7%32 W · 12 L	+3.8wins	+0.09per pick	64cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes	65c	59.29$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.52	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	132	56.1%74 W · 58 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes	49c	51.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	83	36.1%30 W · 53 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	124	50.8%63 W · 61 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	122	51.6%63 W · 59 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Yes	51c	49.44$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.44	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Yes	44c	45.45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.45	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No	52c	41.27$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	189	61.9%117 W · 72 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No	44c	40.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.98	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	323	45.2%146 W · 177 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	422	40.3%170 W · 252 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No	49c	39.02$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	270	51.5%139 W · 131 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes	46c	32.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.61	177	45.2%80 W · 97 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes	48c	31.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	133	46.6%62 W · 71 L	-15.5wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No	50c	30.64$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.32	81	59.3%48 W · 33 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+16%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf229…8583backed Yes	58c	30.58$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.75	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf92f…dc7cbacked Yes	51c	30.42$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.04	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.18per pick	59cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No	49c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	224	48.7%109 W · 115 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes	48c	28.46$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.93	808	53.6%433 W · 375 L	+11.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked No	53c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	221	56.1%124 W · 97 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…3c33backed Yes	72c	27.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Yes	74c	27.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.09	68	55.9%38 W · 30 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes	74c	23.13$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.01	533	44.8%239 W · 294 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ef…b607backed Yes	50c	22.92$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.46	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d2…5aa6backed Yes	48c	22.92$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.92	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.38per pick	42cpaid	+79.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Yes	46c	21.93$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.84	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8df1…e624backed Yes	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes	75c	13.35$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.34	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	-9.8wins	-0.10per pick	66cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
Will Derby County FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?No won
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-04-18?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-18?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event