Europa Conference League · resolved market
AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34a32eff93618d1825921926bb8a64e5c7c2adcc6dead6f3dba884f15f023160
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 19c | 2,439$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.45 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Over | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.97 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.98 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 57c | 1,051$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.07 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 74c | 788.15$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.6 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 62c | 747.41$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.27 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Over | 42c | 655.45$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8403…6866backed Under | 34c | 342.97$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…a43cbacked Under | 62c | 316.13$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 4c | 293.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 38c | 274.84$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.67 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 78c | 272.73$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.73 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 63c | 261.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 5c | 246.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 220.18$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.31 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 208.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…03c1backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 23c | 199.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 52c | 171.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 352 | 46.3%163 W · 189 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Under | 50c | 166.1$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 9c | 154.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 34c | 74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 37c | 67.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Over | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 41c | 50.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -11.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…53a1backed Over | 76c | 29.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…61febacked Under | 62c | 26.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Under | 79c | 22.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 77c | 21.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 58c | 17.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Under | 79c | 13.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 0.5this page
- AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 1.5Under won
- AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 2.5Under won
- AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 3.5Under won
- AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AC Virtus (-1.5)SK Dila Gori won
- Spread: SK Dila Gori (-1.5)AC Virtus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.