Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: SK Dila Gori (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86d92fa0c20bab4c48333a961bdb658a94f8a0f0f5c69241d4e2e9222d9ae9c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AC Virtusof SK Dila Gori, AC Virtus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed SK Dila Gori | 35c | 1,427$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.65 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AC Virtus | 79c | 520.26$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed AC Virtus | 67c | 516.76$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.53 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SK Dila Gori | 20c | 450.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed AC Virtus | 65c | 331.51$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.03 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked AC Virtus | 65c | 279.73$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.91 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SK Dila Gori | 39c | 61.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed AC Virtus | 66c | 58.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed AC Virtus | 66c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed AC Virtus | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed AC Virtus | 61c | 20.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed AC Virtus | 66c | 15.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed AC Virtus | 66c | 15.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…26edbacked AC Virtus | 66c | 15.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SK Dila Gori (-1.5)this page
- AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 0.5Over won
- AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 1.5Under won
- AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 2.5Under won
- AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 3.5Under won
- AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AC Virtus (-1.5)SK Dila Gori won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.