Europa Conference League · resolved market
Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f0211fde7e44054bf3bd3081962892fc24fdd9fb137f6ea393d41af33766265
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Yes | 35c | 3,917$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 2,333$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.98 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 2,184$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.37 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.83 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 49c | 616.63$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.15 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 528.31$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.05 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…b1e1backed No | 51c | 499.94$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 29cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 47c | 394$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.82 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Yes | 51c | 373.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…771cbacked Yes | 9c | 334.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 50c | 269.03$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.82 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed No | 78c | 263$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 253.84$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.34 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 242$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 50c | 239$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 72c | 207.14$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 67c | 185.66$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 51c | 123.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Yes | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 49c | 109.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 28c | 105.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 51c | 93.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 47c | 80.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 56c | 70.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 67c | 59.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 59.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 48c | 52.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…e15abacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.39per pick | 52cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 49c | 32.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked No | 50c | 32.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…4257backed Yes | 47c | 31.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed No | 70c | 28.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 68c | 26.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 0.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 1.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-2.5)RSC Anderlecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.