TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,303 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5108…29cbbacked Over66c304.55$200 inWon+$104.551361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under59c205.31$122 inLost-$1224944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c57…a7debacked Under34c204.55$70 inLost-$69.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbd…2703backed Under34c100.18$34 inLost-$3450%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf61…1e34backed Over52c58.78$31 inWon+$28.011080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+48%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over79c55.33$43 inWon+$11.863,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over65c46.15$30 inWon+$16.1520660.2%124 W · 82 L-15.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under34c30.87$10 inLost-$10.492,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over51c30$15 inWon+$14.79257.6%53 W · 39 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.