TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
RSC Anderlechtof RSC Anderlecht, Qairat FK
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,858 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed RSC Anderlecht15c1,000$150 inWon+$85079532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Qairat FK75c884.4$667 inLost-$666.762,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Qairat FK2c717.44$11 inLost-$10.762,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2afc…997cbacked RSC Anderlecht19c530$101 inWon+$429.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+257.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked RSC Anderlecht20c500$100 inWon+$4005927.1%16 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Qairat FK29c175.19$51 inLost-$51.151,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Qairat FK80c165.66$133 inLost-$132.5327545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Qairat FK80c156$125 inLost-$124.838144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Qairat FK80c99.19$79 inLost-$79.3591950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked RSC Anderlecht20c62.83$12 inWon+$50.5347649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked RSC Anderlecht21c55.92$12 inWon+$44.0638952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaba…cf38backed Qairat FK28c54.57$15 inLost-$15.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4da5…d7b9backed RSC Anderlecht41c45.12$18 inWon+$26.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Qairat FK80c34.15$27 inLost-$27.322,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.