Europa Conference League · resolved market
Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6942dcdf2a15ee03ec710bf252df048e7cb825e3dcf882212dd8cf2ba95b817
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 79c | 11,439$9,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 9,080$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.16 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 23c | 5,731$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.32 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 3,674$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.99 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 8c | 3,115$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.35 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 78c | 3,019$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.04 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dab…55dabacked Over | 48c | 2,598$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Under | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 53c | 2,462$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.26 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 54c | 2,043$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.5 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Under | 51c | 1,744$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 52c | 1,546$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 2c | 1,481$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 37c | 1,036$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.39 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 78c | 986.09$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 64c | 682.09$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.91 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 52c | 665.17$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.28 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 42c | 658.64$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.64 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 9c | 593.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked Over | 49c | 588.24$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.24 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 19c | 544.22$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Over | 51c | 380.59$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…5f71backed Under | 75c | 347.91$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…89c6backed Under | 78c | 155.67$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 68c | 150.47$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 68c | 144.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 20c | 143.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 76c | 141.3$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 10c | 107$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 77c | 103.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Over | 21c | 101.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 42c | 99.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 75c | 98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 67c | 94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 53c | 78.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 23c | 57.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 77c | 57.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bae…4bb4backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 77c | 49.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Under | 67c | 49.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…d463backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Over | 43c | 41.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd5…9aa3backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 68c | 31.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbe…ccebbacked Over | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 64c | 24.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…6de9backed Over | 47c | 22.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 69c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 67c | 20.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…08d9backed Under | 75c | 15.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 4.5this page
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 0.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 1.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-2.5)RSC Anderlecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.