TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
RSC Anderlechtof RSC Anderlecht, Qairat FK
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,498
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,498 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed RSC Anderlecht67c1,630$1,094 inWon+$535.353,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Qairat FK36c492.4$175 inLost-$175.142,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Qairat FK27c372.41$102 inLost-$101.621,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Qairat FK11c247$26 inLost-$25.942,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed RSC Anderlecht7c201.79$13 inWon+$188.623951.5%123 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed RSC Anderlecht59c198.93$117 inWon+$81.431838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked RSC Anderlecht16c62.15$10 inWon+$52.027356.2%41 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9991…b2cebacked RSC Anderlecht40c50.05$20 inWon+$30.031573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+73.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked RSC Anderlecht40c50.05$20 inWon+$30.034770.2%33 W · 14 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Qairat FK50c35$18 inLost-$17.53154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Qairat FK43c26.06$11 inLost-$11.242,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Qairat FK76c20.46$15 inLost-$15.52,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.