Europa Conference League · resolved market
Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf503d61b7a518bc7a887a61f66ff53d81c27c957f84e6c7fd8fa34089abddbf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 33c | 3,018$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.55 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 1,951$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.32 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 14c | 1,163$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.79 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 69c | 1,126$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.66 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 554.37$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.87 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Under | 32c | 485.13$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 71c | 438.76$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.78 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed Under | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 32c | 305.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 69c | 199.97$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 70c | 185.71$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 75c | 183.56$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +10.5wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Over | 78c | 178.05$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 32c | 173.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 66c | 170.29$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 28c | 154.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 69c | 136$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbd…2703backed Under | 31c | 121.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 72c | 115.48$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 68c | 105.01$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 31c | 86.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 23c | 84.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 76c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 29c | 63.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Under | 32c | 63.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 68c | 62.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 77c | 59.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 31c | 53.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Over | 67c | 47.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 67c | 44.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 30c | 36.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Over | 70c | 31.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 71c | 27.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Over | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 68c | 18.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 66c | 17.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 1.5this page
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 0.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 1.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-2.5)RSC Anderlecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.