Champions League · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b8f717d32f2c7b3d4c991e904df80ee3529b26495fdde69b681ae1f995f0d92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1713…1986backed Over | 52c | 1,917$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Over | 54c | 1,870$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 1,818$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.31 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Over | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 54c | 1,266$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.33 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 47c | 1,062$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.54 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 1,047$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.44 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 46c | 855.41$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.06 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…3792backed Over | 55c | 645.32$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Over | 54c | 444.24$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.69 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 22c | 414.86$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.27 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 47c | 409.21$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.08 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 43c | 298.55$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.16 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 31c | 293.57$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6da…5ccfbacked Under | 68c | 275.85$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 47c | 222$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 56c | 179.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 47c | 174.59$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over | 58c | 173.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 45c | 171.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 43c | 145.64$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 44c | 135.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 41c | 104.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 95.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 33c | 93.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 45c | 80.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 73.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under | 44c | 66.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b2…a4aabacked Over | 41c | 63.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 50.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…14b8backed Over | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 55c | 39.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…9d80backed Over | 53c | 33.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked Under | 45c | 23.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 57c | 19.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 69cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 2.5this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: Fenerbahçe SK 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 0.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 1.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: Górnik Zabrze O/U 0.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: Górnik Zabrze O/U 1.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: Górnik Zabrze O/U 2.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Górnik Zabrze (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.