TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: Górnik Zabrze O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,433
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,433 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224f…514abacked Under54c958.44$515 inWon+$443.33857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c692.84$299 inLost-$299.361,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over46c299.95$138 inLost-$137.9836742.8%157 W · 210 L-22.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under53c199.98$106 inWon+$93.995149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over48c163.88$79 inLost-$78.665437%20 W · 34 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c146.04$70 inLost-$70.131342.5%133 W · 180 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over19c117.1$22 inLost-$21.7799435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon+$44.341369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under51c89$45 inWon+$43.5229858.4%174 W · 124 L+17.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under54c51.99$28 inWon+$23.7652046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over48c49$24 inLost-$23.529947.5%47 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over44c43.27$19 inLost-$19.0487531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f78…3546backed Over50c40$20 inLost-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over49c34.32$17 inLost-$16.8160648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Over48c25$12 inLost-$122544%11 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over47c22.73$11 inLost-$10.699946.5%46 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.