TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,803
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,827

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,803 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under20c3,792$763 inWon+$3,028.271,07134.8%373 W · 698 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over75c1,333$1,000 inLost-$1,0001435.7%5 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.28per pick64cpaid-48.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Over54c499.5$270 inLost-$269.73425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under46c499.5$230 inWon+$269.7396837.4%362 W · 606 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under20c143.01$28 inWon+$114.8439442.9%169 W · 225 L-23.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over78c128.2$100 inLost-$1004060%24 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under22c128$28 inWon+$99.8430949.8%154 W · 155 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31f0…0556backed Over77c115.81$89 inLost-$89.17650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Over65c69.99$45 inLost-$45.49837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x008b…9d80backed Over77c51.95$40 inLost-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under35c40$14 inWon+$2638953.7%209 W · 180 L+21.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bab…c45ebacked Over79c37.55$30 inLost-$29.84837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick69cpaid-46.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over75c30$23 inLost-$22.55839.7%23 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a1…30d1backed Over68c24$16 inLost-$16.321681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+65.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Over79c13.35$11 inLost-$10.552948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.