TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,519 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over15c4,962$729 inLost-$729.381,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over16c1,419$231 inLost-$231.211315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-62.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Over16c1,012$165 inLost-$165.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over18c549.95$100 inLost-$100.4970%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4079…8735backed Under75c317.52$238 inWon+$79.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over11c299.99$33 inLost-$335433.3%18 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over25c230.42$58 inLost-$57.6128651%146 W · 140 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Over26c192$50 inLost-$49.9212219.7%24 W · 98 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over27c171$46 inLost-$4611736.8%43 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under74c134.27$99 inWon+$35.1513037.7%49 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under73c117.06$86 inWon+$31.4652046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x672d…97f1backed Over26c110.23$29 inLost-$28.6660%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over25c96.08$24 inLost-$24.0236742.8%157 W · 210 L-22.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4325…324dbacked Under79c72.15$57 inWon+$15.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under74c68.92$51 inWon+$17.9229858.4%174 W · 124 L+17.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under78c64.1$50 inWon+$14.11258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under74c59.96$44 inWon+$15.8363150.2%317 W · 314 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over26c57.69$15 inLost-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under73c56.38$41 inWon+$15.2241553%220 W · 195 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed Under77c45.21$35 inWon+$10.41662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over26c43.85$11 inLost-$11.487531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under79c24$19 inWon+$5.042642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under74c20$15 inWon+$5.24259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc67d…6be7backed Under76c19.74$15 inWon+$4.746100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.