TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,518 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x162c…6c47backed Under56c21,895$12,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,542.824065%26 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x94e4…87e0backed Under57c21,680$12,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,342.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over30c8,464$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.246741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b0f…4633backed Under70c4,308$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.946100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over41c4,186$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.761,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Over43c3,888$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.751040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over43c3,881$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.9143252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over43c3,876$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.668647.7%41 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c3,000$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.0563346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under56c2,976$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.381675%12 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c2,884$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.4588631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over40c2,275$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.5172335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over45c2,250$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.1111937.8%45 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Over45c2,005$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.083834.2%13 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c1,814$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.071,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e37…6789backed Under58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over44c1,700$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7413956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over43c1,464$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.314250%21 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under75c1,330$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.532843.6%143 W · 185 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over43c1,178$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.3529746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over43c1,164$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.3260748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under57c1,098$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.223964.1%25 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over44c1,029$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.76633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44036142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over44c903$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.322437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over43c863.99$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over41c822.7$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.3723031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under57c776.97$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.118950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over44c768$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.9229949.5%148 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under57c699.96$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.981770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x57f1…a504backed Over43c668.63$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20470%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over43c585$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.5513649.3%67 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over35c541.89$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.127236.1%26 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Under58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.241070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over43c433.18$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8431847.5%151 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over43c430.83$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.549946.5%46 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over42c422.05$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2650247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over43c394.4$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.534143.9%18 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under66c391.96$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1130856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over43c347$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7665050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over43c306.59$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2452046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1355433.3%18 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over44c300$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13122552%117 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over43c289.5$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.544738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Over43c271.44$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.382040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over43c271$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.884443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over41c260.93$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1224252.5%127 W · 115 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed Over43c260$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-66.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over44c240$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.61822.2%4 W · 14 L-5.9wins-0.33per pick55cpaid-60.7%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011440.4%46 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Over45c227.05$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.175459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under60c225.98$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8638142.8%163 W · 218 L-22.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over43c184$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.125265.4%34 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under56c179.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.21776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+54%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under56c153.77$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6633844.7%151 W · 187 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under56c151.79$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.799549.5%47 W · 48 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under56c140.92$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.722245%100 W · 122 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over44c140$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0514454.9%79 W · 65 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Over44c122.19$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.616357.1%36 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over43c120.72$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.915843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016553.3%88 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over44c107.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.256132.8%20 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over17c107.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.077564%48 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc37e…f1b8backed Over43c105.86$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.521030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over40c105.58$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.232748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03d7…cdcbbacked Under62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over43c98.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.57842.3%33 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x672d…97f1backed Over43c96.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6160%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over43c94.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.775257.7%30 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over42c87.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2614942.3%63 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over43c71.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.932433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5183…d4dabacked Over43c69.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.971450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x008b…9d80backed Over45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over45c64.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.919652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9c…601abacked Over45c64.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.91922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-60.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over43c59.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7115448.7%75 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over41c59.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.162147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under55c55.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8491537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.55538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over39c45.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.831315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-62.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Over44c45.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over43c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.358053.8%43 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over43c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.572630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over43c44.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.314353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81d…20f7backed Under60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over35c41.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.541,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1811645.7%53 W · 63 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.84259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Under59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.42540%10 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c4…4c57backed Over47c36.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf1…7cb7backed Over43c34.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x653b…685ebacked Under59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under54c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.048440.5%34 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.