Champions League · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6d02aab790cb73443df7fe61e609f80cebf3df19ee49d76cf2ce7d1aa440e48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x882f…a8c0backed Over | 53c | 12,000$6,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,579.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 7,737$3,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,623.44 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Under | 2c | 2,561$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Under | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 43c | 1,313$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.4 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 77c | 1,060$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 51c | 787.13$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.83 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 655.49$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.48 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 51c | 585.05$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.1 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Under | 46c | 543.47$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 44c | 506.41$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.82 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Under | 45c | 495.15$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.82 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 45c | 440.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.04 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 415.08$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.75 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 48c | 311.14$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.96 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 33c | 268.61$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 258.15$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.25 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961c…9d72backed Over | 66c | 239.47$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 41c | 172.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 77c | 156.65$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Under | 59c | 128.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Over | 80c | 124.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 47c | 108.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 58c | 108$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 20c | 101.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 45c | 95.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 75c | 88.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 20c | 86.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 19c | 86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 57c | 83.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…593abacked Over | 44c | 79.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 55.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…fcb9backed Over | 48c | 50.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…49b7backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…1e34backed Under | 31c | 46.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Under | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 58c | 41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 48c | 32.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Under | 51c | 31.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 48c | 29.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…fd15backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…f1b8backed Under | 48c | 23.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 58c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 74c | 19.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: Fenerbahçe SK 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 0.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 1.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 2.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: Górnik Zabrze O/U 0.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: Górnik Zabrze O/U 1.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: Górnik Zabrze O/U 2.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Górnik Zabrze (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.