TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,649 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under42c13,726$5,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,785.9811645.7%53 W · 63 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c5,829$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.131,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under7c3,281$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.671735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf18…3ca8backed Under46c3,261$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over41c2,608$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.582,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over76c2,397$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.1881440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under53c2,328$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.741947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under5c2,306$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.694223.8%10 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf8c6…4727backed Over55c2,236$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under29c2,162$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.532528%7 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f63…66b7backed Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under45c1,884$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.814637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under4c1,797$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.396619.7%13 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-54.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over78c1,300$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.937767.5%52 W · 25 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c1,205$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.3956849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c1,201$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.2376941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over54c1,200$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5529538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under47c1,107$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.273661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Under47c1,045$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4912050%10 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under5c916.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502536%9 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over54c904$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.0827039.3%106 W · 164 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over60c894.74$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.744290.5%38 W · 4 L+10.6wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over57c852.9$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.6827846.4%129 W · 149 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under3c834.39$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9340%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over55c782.49$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1218252.7%96 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over75c753.47$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.372,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under79c738.65$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.114151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under39c567.02$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3870239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Over76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over46c443.98$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.75955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c400.35$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.383,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over72c344.21$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.382871.4%20 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over54c340.02$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7388048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over19c326.41$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.143138.7%12 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick29cpaid-3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over61c316.21$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3623950.2%120 W · 119 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over62c312.18$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5638952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c99…8b23backed Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.692263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over54c305.65$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.669448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over47c293.62$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.624528.9%13 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c287.03$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.882,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.954654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over75c234.01$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.541241.7%5 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick67cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under41c225.28$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.412,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over54c220.02$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3115352.9%81 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under37c215.68$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3950154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over60c195.83$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0818244.5%81 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe748…c645backed Under8c189.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.94560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+37.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6677855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over67c149.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.333754.1%20 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Under53c139.62$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over59c135.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5917447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over73c134.25$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.258165.4%53 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over54c133.05$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.266150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Over54c129.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.635356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over47c120.01$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.619668.8%66 W · 30 L+11.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under48c119.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.610627.4%29 W · 77 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over54c103.63$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0132436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c103.09$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.591,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over66c99.97$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Under46c96.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.683432.4%11 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over50c86.73$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1619848%95 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed Under40c86.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.533666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under50c81.91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3314931.5%47 W · 102 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under38c78.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a00…9ac7backed Over52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.92875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+39.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under41c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4733446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d6…6562backed Over55c74.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.21533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over60c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd21c…2afcbacked Over65c69.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.33844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over66c63.64$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.647553.3%40 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Under56c62.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355257.7%30 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Over69c60.71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8236356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Over48c55.93$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.969923.2%23 W · 76 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over50c52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1353564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1511260.7%68 W · 44 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Under56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2814630.1%44 W · 102 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed Over62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under46c49.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8465535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under48c47.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.566858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over54c47.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6465549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under39c43.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1763857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over53c41.91$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.744156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over68c41.83$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.351,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d90…7d46backed Over55c36.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under34c34.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6515544.5%69 W · 86 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Under53c33.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.53154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over58c32.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9245135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e82…7ab7backed Under47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153060%18 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35aa…7bd0backed Over66c31.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.825100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+97.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Under65c31.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.33158.1%18 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3538…1035backed Over65c30.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.76955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.433522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.812355.3%68 W · 55 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c29.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.791,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under43c27.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.876854.4%37 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2726647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over72c27.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.77152.1%37 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Over74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.021662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.