Europa Conference League · resolved market
Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dbcd16249ab2634e95549f9b21f0bbc290575f04a209ad5eb0e8c62b59094f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 3,732$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.37 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 67c | 2,607$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.53 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 76c | 2,134$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.16 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 32c | 1,863$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.74 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 25c | 1,725$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.37 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Under | 74c | 1,353$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.99 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 6c | 992.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 3c | 663.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 32c | 651.47$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.23 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 4c | 416.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 34c | 370.72$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.54 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…96c6backed Under | 56c | 360$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 45c | 306.67$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 60c | 300$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 274.39$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.83 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 23c | 268.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 27c | 258.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 67c | 246.85$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 73c | 246.64$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ef…e59abacked Under | 68c | 237.53$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 34c | 235$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9940…59b3backed Over | 27c | 213.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 34c | 182$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 34c | 182$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 72c | 178.33$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 9c | 177.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 26c | 169$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 75c | 130.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…4324backed Over | 35c | 128.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 31c | 126.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 28c | 109.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…4c25backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 26c | 99.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 74c | 93.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 33c | 83.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 16c | 78.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 76c | 75.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 28c | 66.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 36c | 59.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 66c | 49.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 56c | 47.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 26c | 47.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.4wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 31c | 44.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 33c | 39.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 37c | 28.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Under | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 69c | 25.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 68c | 23.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…097ebacked Under | 69c | 21.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: FK Partizan Beograd (-1.5)Tobyl FK won
- Spread: Tobyl FK (-1.5)FK Partizan Beograd won
- Spread: Tobyl FK (-2.5)FK Partizan Beograd won
- Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: FK Partizan Beograd O/U 0.5Over won
- Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: FK Partizan Beograd O/U 1.5Over won
- Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: FK Partizan Beograd O/U 2.5Under won
- Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: Team to AdvanceFK Partizan Beograd won
- Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: Tobyl FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: Tobyl FK O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.