TailMyPicks
Market

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$173,514
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,201

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,514 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a39…b0b9backed Over52c84,987$44,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,193.451735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under48c36,043$17,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,742.596556.9%37 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c13,369$7,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,193.992,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under48c10,417$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.67728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under59c6,940$4,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,817.092,34441.6%976 W · 1,368 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over52c6,263$3,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,256.9865835.6%234 W · 424 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under48c6,155$2,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,195.953560%21 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c4,538$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,267.273,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under46c4,322$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,329.051,03746.1%478 W · 559 L-2.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over64c3,866$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,477.73767.6%25 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under48c3,702$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.1132436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under49c3,675$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86997846.2%452 W · 526 L-3.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under75c3,593$2,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.2714637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over32c3,399$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.138036.3%29 W · 51 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over44c3,315$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.931,61138.8%625 W · 986 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under48c3,227$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.082045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Under48c2,952$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.095761.4%35 W · 22 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over31c2,697$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.763633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+71.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0126…4047backed Under48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+48.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4cf…6649backed Under48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Under51c1,967$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.911957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over13c1,811$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.379732.2%257 W · 540 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over52c1,319$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.6417446%80 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under48c1,111$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c1,093$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.3666250.6%335 W · 327 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c1,031$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.8169548.9%340 W · 355 L+19.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under48c979.53$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.3596947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over44c979.33$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.912425%6 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-38.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over3c866.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266819.1%13 W · 55 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-56%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under55c865.57$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.0450354.7%275 W · 228 L+19.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under52c831.12$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.935246.3%163 W · 189 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under47c824.41$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.9411845.8%54 W · 64 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over53c819.25$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.23036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over54c801.68$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.56955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32514443.8%63 W · 81 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c605.26$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.642,17537.6%817 W · 1,358 L+4.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf18…3ca8backed Under48c604.45$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.313432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under56c585.1$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.5412057.5%69 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under48c555.54$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.8814744.9%66 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under68c517.09$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.124654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over35c492.31$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7127846.4%129 W · 149 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over36c488.77$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2733446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under52c487.23$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.022,47833.9%840 W · 1,638 L-95.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under48c481.1$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.1744356.2%249 W · 194 L+23.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c443.92$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.4270639.5%279 W · 427 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over23c389.75$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.742611.5%3 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under56c367.17$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5657149.6%283 W · 288 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over52c337$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7988048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under59c336.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.166363.5%40 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15665549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under58c286.66$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1738753%205 W · 182 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under49c260$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.68858%51 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under48c258.33$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3339357.5%226 W · 167 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under77c203.43$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0519240.1%77 W · 115 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under78c198.81$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.544151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Over56c179.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003666.7%24 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under48c171$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9215352.9%81 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over13c169.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1137146.4%172 W · 199 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94b0…5e23backed Under51c169$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over53c163.71$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.271,02647.4%486 W · 540 L-3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over49c155$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9511674.1%86 W · 30 L+18.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+34.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under47c154.07$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.479554.1%430 W · 365 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.577855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb10…5080backed Under51c147.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Under44c144.03$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.661428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over53c139$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.671,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under52c135.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4485260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under51c127.45$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9158061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c126.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.061,04650.2%525 W · 521 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under49c120.65$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.626953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x924d…3429backed Under45c111.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over53c111.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0233522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over42c110$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4624049.2%118 W · 122 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe217…9626backed Over54c104.73$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.863644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Under48c95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.42321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+70.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.295959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Under53c88.56$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.693432.4%11 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under63c86.11$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.472259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x434a…91cbbacked Over16c85.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.674544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over28c76.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7723950.2%120 W · 119 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e9…99e6backed Over26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a62…4ab9backed Over47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356628.8%19 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f9…12a6backed Under55c74$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.31861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under44c73.08$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.861573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over15c70$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54916.3%8 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-41.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over50c69.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Over57c65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Under54c60.76$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.651566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under48c59.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.191942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over51c54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.691,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Under56c53.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.363860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c51.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5715947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc144…4fbdbacked Under68c50.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under51c50.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7329470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1319848%95 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under31c49.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.492142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Over63c48.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.53154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under47c48.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7139052.6%205 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under50c44.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.617153.8%92 W · 79 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.