Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dbb2f298b704e197aa873ab1aabf12aca0e3344c940f4adf1e3b3ebd7f40b7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qarabağ Ağdam FKof Qarabağ Ağdam FK, FK Dynamo Kyiv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 74c | 2,477$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.93 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 32c | 801.91$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.9 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 25c | 599.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.98 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 25c | 554.23$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.91 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 72c | 417.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.69 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 27c | 392$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.16 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 27c | 392$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.16 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 25c | 239.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…2d67backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 27c | 209.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 24c | 126.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked FK Dynamo Kyiv | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…4c25backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 24c | 78.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 25c | 78.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a00…9ac7backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 26c | 42.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 75c | 36.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked FK Dynamo Kyiv | 79c | 30.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 76c | 25.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 74c | 18.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 71c | 15.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 75c | 14.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)this page
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 1.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Team to AdvanceQarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.