TailMyPicks

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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Team to Advance

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Qarabağ Ağdam FKof Qarabağ Ağdam FK, FK Dynamo Kyiv
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,836

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,171 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeb43…4201backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK40c4,778$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,867.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed FK Dynamo Kyiv60c4,726$2,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,835.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FK Dynamo Kyiv6c1,673$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3637446.8%175 W · 199 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked FK Dynamo Kyiv62c1,600$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a0…b873backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK75c1,549$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.91650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed FK Dynamo Kyiv30c851$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.244330.2%13 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FK Dynamo Kyiv4c791.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4378344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked FK Dynamo Kyiv11c671.36$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0497346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FK Dynamo Kyiv20c663.83$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8879532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK43c658.73$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.481,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK41c499.98$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.993336.4%12 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FK Dynamo Kyiv3c478.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3863857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae6a…de5ebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.121752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK38c460$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2851,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK35c325.08$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.318244.5%81 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed FK Dynamo Kyiv59c262.5$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.882045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed FK Dynamo Kyiv6c232.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0214241.5%59 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece0…7dc9backed FK Dynamo Kyiv59c205.47$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.26944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked FK Dynamo Kyiv57c187.26$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.744259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed FK Dynamo Kyiv59c155$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.452321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+70.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK43c151.78$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.782157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed FK Dynamo Kyiv59c130$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.118252.7%96 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK39c123.49$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.723372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdd1f…3b4dbacked FK Dynamo Kyiv57c122.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7050%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK43c122.81$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7037046.5%172 W · 198 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed FK Dynamo Kyiv32c117.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.751030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked FK Dynamo Kyiv47c106.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3995…f71dbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572352.2%12 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+44.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK39c99.72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7938144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked FK Dynamo Kyiv58c86.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK41c81.31$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.761,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.239357.5%226 W · 167 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3172…7520backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK60c76.1$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.18560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK40c62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.288048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.141560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked FK Dynamo Kyiv57c55.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7415352.9%81 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed FK Dynamo Kyiv50c52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd7a…ce3abacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK42c48.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247650%38 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe217…9626backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK42c39.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.913644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4c1…1630backed FK Dynamo Kyiv55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf24f…15b2backed FK Dynamo Kyiv58c36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.886734.3%23 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked FK Dynamo Kyiv56c35.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.855841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf57c…77eebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK70c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b25…7a69backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK35c30.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.131513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-71.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK39c28.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.586722.4%15 W · 52 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK41c27.69$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2479354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed FK Dynamo Kyiv57c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.821,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf22…8c56backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked FK Dynamo Kyiv61c22.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147435.1%26 W · 48 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f3b…9335backed FK Dynamo Kyiv58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.