Europa Conference League · resolved market
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f203e6fa5fb752180838086b50168676dca4cfaa9836b46e21ac2a15402a3bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 24c | 2,717$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.37 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 76c | 1,189$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.24 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked Over | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 20c | 955$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 3c | 835.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 20c | 798.78$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.16 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 12c | 797.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 19c | 603.46$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 70c | 553.97$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.33 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 32c | 420.96$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 22c | 347.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 9c | 303.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 65c | 286.04$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 75c | 261.82$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 12c | 203.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 23c | 176.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 78c | 115.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 80c | 96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 24c | 86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 77c | 49.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 78c | 48.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 78c | 38.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed Over | 76c | 30.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…1035backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 79c | 26.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Over | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 79c | 24.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 69c | 17.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +11.3wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…097ebacked Over | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 75c | 16.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 1.5this page
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 1.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Team to AdvanceQarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.