Europa Conference League · resolved market
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7be0334fb25ae1b48e9ed8f6811a0429025b2a882352e51bedc78499fe44575c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a39…b0b9backed Over | 29c | 20,525$6,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,052.38 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 74c | 4,491$3,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.47 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Under | 71c | 4,247$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.55 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 23c | 4,064$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.42 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 70c | 3,882$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.39 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Under | 71c | 2,808$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.53 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 71c | 2,683$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 74c | 2,468$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.33 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 1,877$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.34 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 74c | 1,563$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 70c | 1,257$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.16 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 70c | 1,064$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.99 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 70c | 1,006$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.84 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 70c | 1,000$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.04 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 22c | 705.11$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.91 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Over | 14c | 681.86$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 70c | 668.55$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.32 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Under | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Over | 23c | 584.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.55 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 31c | 499.93$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.6 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 31c | 494.6$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 71c | 440$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 72c | 382.54$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 3c | 333.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 70c | 288.96$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 70c | 268.95$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 79c | 190$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 70c | 128.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 71c | 107.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 70c | 104$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 28c | 97.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854a…5e9ebacked Under | 70c | 84.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5df…b489backed Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 18c | 67.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 22c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 29c | 51.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 70c | 47.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 37c | 36.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 65c | 33.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 70c | 33.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 78c | 31.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 71c | 30.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 71c | 30.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 36c | 30.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Under | 70c | 30.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 69c | 26.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked Under | 71c | 22.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Under | 64c | 21.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 70c | 18.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 70c | 16.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 72c | 14.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 3.5this page
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 1.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Team to AdvanceQarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.