Europa Conference League · resolved market
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6faf4ea2f3a88f4ab5b74fe606c4bfc640034ae3bfad91c3fbe7de3a2688330
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 60c | 668.21$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.69 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 446.51$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.5 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 206.61$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 174.53$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 56c | 170.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…39bbbacked Yes | 59c | 161.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 160.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 46c | 139.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 45c | 110.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 45c | 95.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 44c | 89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed No | 45c | 78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 44c | 68.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 46c | 57.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 44c | 37.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 54c | 34.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda04…f17dbacked Yes | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 47c | 24.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 45c | 23.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 54c | 23.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…e79cbacked Yes | 58c | 21.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 1.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Team to AdvanceQarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.