Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Collignon vs Vacherot
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc54f9648d180745f2414a877071131c0b1c7e666eb1f0b03ed9df4bbd5a29406
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Collignonof Collignon, Vacherot
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked Vacherot | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Vacherot | 2c | 1,726$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…5cb1backed Vacherot | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Collignon | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.92 | 392 | 56.6%222 W · 170 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Collignon | 54c | 813.95$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.32 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Vacherot | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed Vacherot | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 0%0 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Vacherot | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Collignon | 71c | 521.69$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Vacherot | 46c | 437.07$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Collignon | 56c | 271.93$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Vacherot | 22c | 231.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Collignon | 73c | 155.19$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…b707backed Vacherot | 44c | 134.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Vacherot | 46c | 128.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Vacherot | 41c | 114.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Vacherot | 52c | 108.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed Vacherot | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b28…c403backed Collignon | 80c | 87.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Vacherot | 19c | 79.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Collignon | 76c | 75.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Vacherot | 43c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Vacherot | 43c | 65.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Collignon | 56c | 63.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…e81bbacked Collignon | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Vacherot | 43c | 50.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Collignon | 57c | 49.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 272 | 48.2%131 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Collignon | 54c | 33.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a2…a5ffbacked Vacherot | 46c | 33.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Collignon | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Collignon | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 206 | 35.9%74 W · 132 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…fcf5backed Vacherot | 48c | 22.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Collignon | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Collignon | 63c | 18.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 314 | 51.9%163 W · 151 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da8…e5e2backed Collignon | 69c | 18.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Collignon | 71c | 17.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Collignon vs Vacherotthis page
- Collignon vs. Vacherot: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Collignon vs. Vacherot: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Raphael Collignon vs. Valentin Vacherot: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Collignon (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)Vacherot won
- Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin VacherotRaphael Collignon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.