Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Collignon (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7da575e0210edc3cd0fbfcc1b956ea416b2053282f1981f1c3170c492c60f2ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vacherotof Collignon, Vacherot
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Vacherot | 64c | 3,934$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.73 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Collignon | 36c | 3,204$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.47 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Vacherot | 66c | 792$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.39 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Collignon | 36c | 714.46$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.17 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Vacherot | 21c | 653.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.33 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Vacherot | 22c | 550$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Vacherot | 21c | 530$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.1 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Vacherot | 21c | 480$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.5 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Vacherot | 46c | 448.78$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.24 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Vacherot | 22c | 434.64$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…dcb4backed Vacherot | 25c | 296.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.11 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Vacherot | 60c | 252.56$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Vacherot | 27c | 175$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.75 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Collignon | 32c | 170$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Vacherot | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Collignon | 34c | 153.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Collignon | 33c | 151.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Collignon | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…c6f3backed Vacherot | 63c | 132.6$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Collignon | 38c | 124.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Vacherot | 25c | 118.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Collignon | 34c | 102.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Collignon | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 415 | 44.3%184 W · 231 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Vacherot | 30c | 101.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6f…e043backed Collignon | 65c | 93.45$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Vacherot | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 164 | 67.7%111 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Vacherot | 63c | 78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Vacherot | 62c | 65.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc529…889fbacked Collignon | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Collignon | 36c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Collignon | 36c | 50.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Vacherot | 57c | 46.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Collignon | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5727…e484backed Vacherot | 64c | 29.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Vacherot | 55c | 20.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Collignon (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)this page
- Collignon vs. Vacherot: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Collignon vs. Vacherot: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Raphael Collignon vs. Valentin Vacherot: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Collignon vs VacherotCollignon won
- Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin VacherotRaphael Collignon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.