TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,030

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,276 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over63c30,731$19,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,258.9519042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c19,005$9,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,303.662,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over52c13,808$7,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,627.941650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c10,890$6,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,030.0232650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c10,647$4,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,724.711,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4947…d93abacked Under0c9,724$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over31c9,550$2,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,582.974247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over56c7,731$4,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,429.981546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d61…3fcbbacked Under0c7,536$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over62c5,902$3,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.8710650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under51c4,973$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.8696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under77c4,600$3,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,541.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under37c4,024$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.9898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over57c3,707$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.751241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Under44c3,485$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under37c3,047$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.9768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under32c2,967$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.723759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c2,839$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.2293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over62c2,711$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.513447.1%16 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+42.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c2,116$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.4415244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under36c1,944$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.849652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Under1c1,839$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.397231.9%23 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under45c1,726$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.9341144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under38c1,500$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56741954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Under38c1,322$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.19944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over68c1,248$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.2811127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under79c1,178$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.897750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Over33c1,147$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.631376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over62c1,143$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.437546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under38c1,100$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4184860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over44c1,049$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+46.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under38c1,023$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.4236456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under37c1,016$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.926659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37038547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37046047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37042347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over48c920$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.46328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under37c900$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33339354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d7babacked Over56c900$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-64.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over61c898.25$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.3224953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under34c859$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.99627.1%26 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over62c788.06$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Under39c745.9$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0d8…6052backed Under57c702.69$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.33450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over28c700.83$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.63450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under39c673.96$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.844748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under36c661.38$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.12650%13 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over52c640.62$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.51752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under37c600$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21932854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under64c578.3$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.5610759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01ec…df67backed Over56c541.18$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-45.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Under39c526.48$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.754445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under36c521.49$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.746170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under37c517.71$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5312351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over66c473.96$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8143058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over50c454$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2273348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Over46c451.99$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.07650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under36c420$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.28360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under36c420$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.27358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over61c414$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4611349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over47c412$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.369054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under29c403.43$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.225219.2%10 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under38c388.28$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.282941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over69c384.41$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.31850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb355…f149backed Under40c371.58$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under36c370$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.26861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under67c368.1$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.3719154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over23c343$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.11837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Over47c342.64$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.312536%9 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed Under45c341.16$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under76c328.03$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8849850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Under60c326.12$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.181650%8 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…4806backed Over60c325.33$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.131546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over62c315.23$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.794339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over35c309.43$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.837051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed Over64c306.04$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.371471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over69c302.38$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3510361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over26c296.49$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.0449137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under37c292.9$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.377045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over41c291.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.283737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over51c258.68$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12691043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under38c253.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.285166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over51c250$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.53542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4c…39c0backed Under10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over40c248.23$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.9413142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over46c245.27$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4421650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under38c240.7$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.472763%17 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.186036.7%22 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under54c190.81$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.043438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43c7…d727backed Over24c180.66$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.75955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07f5…d680backed Under64c177$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.281855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x578a…6f10backed Over60c174.05$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.62666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Under39c173.14$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.522040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over44c164.73$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.254231%13 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under11c159.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.43030%9 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+110%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.895554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04b…3ce0backed Over51c148.44$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.