Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bc3335e5428979bc88fd65423347b72dce12acfaf7ee8923733e3d6604448b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 0c | 22,507$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 2,659$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.76 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 2,317$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.38 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 39c | 1,763$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.74 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d7babacked Over | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd4…3e03backed Under | 66c | 1,484$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 31c | 1,439$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.06 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 61c | 1,100$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 27c | 587.89$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 61c | 511.43$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.47 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 22c | 373.52$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…1177backed Under | 80c | 370.5$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 16c | 347.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 61c | 277.27$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.13 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 62c | 253.09$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…0486backed Over | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x181b…4941backed Under | 65c | 226.05$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Under | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…d680backed Under | 69c | 153.96$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…172cbacked Over | 28c | 133.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 23c | 131.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 40c | 130.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…916ebacked Over | 39c | 98.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 75c | 86.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Under | 71c | 83.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Under | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked Over | 16c | 76.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 20c | 76.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 22c | 68.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…1100backed Under | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 39c | 59.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 61c | 57.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked Over | 35c | 47.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Over | 40c | 45.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 61c | 34.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 34.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Over | 38c | 29.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 39c | 29.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 63c | 28.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 63c | 24.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 62c | 23.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 62c | 22.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd6…af78backed Under | 61c | 16.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +182%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 74c | 16.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.