TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,192
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,277

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,192 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c5,597$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.261,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under41c5,502$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.9632650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Under1c4,199$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.574047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over68c3,527$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.641478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under31c2,651$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.8696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bd…19a9backed Over50c2,392$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c1,908$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.162,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc64c…e605backed Under17c1,677$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.0630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under30c1,595$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.773759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over65c1,082$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-48.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over47c1,060$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.83348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under39c898.31$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.0441144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over73c732.45$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Over66c709.94$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.08966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over75c667$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.751361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30013636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over52c560.31$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.95771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+46.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over47c515$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.951346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under25c477.5$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3831051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over69c419.91$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.272751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under17c414$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1313445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.39054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd04b…3ce0backed Over52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe29f…b2f0backed Under16c360.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.69650%3 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+121.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f9b…555cbacked Over78c330.97$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.811668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over54c328.63$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.874463.6%28 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+30.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under44c326.98$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.14852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over52c326.42$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.681338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Over49c320.08$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under17c300.26$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0430828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Over61c279.56$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.752744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over50c274$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over74c260$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.82065%13 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over52c224.12$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.582240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9810233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under16c198.25$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7351139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over63c194.01$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.781241.7%5 W · 7 L-3.6wins-0.30per pick71cpaid-39.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over52c192.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.634348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c153.81$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under16c148.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.79627.1%26 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Under20c147.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51244.2%1 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick18cpaid-85.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over49c146.66$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.913860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over78c141.15$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.05540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ea…05b8backed Over63c138.13$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.11955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick71cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Under18c131.37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.65633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d53…2735backed Over78c129.04$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.39366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over52c112.06$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7915459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under16c111.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7739354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Under18c105.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.021553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over70c105$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.511268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over77c98.62$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6826747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over50c88.55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under47c79.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5115244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x610d…6c37backed Over69c74.46$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over67c73.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.141833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Over55c70.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.841866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Over63c70.27$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.031376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c75…45febacked Under48c67.28$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.98650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under25c61.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.283831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6602…7047backed Over60c56.93$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.771040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d08…3f86backed Over71c54.33$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.011338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07f5…d680backed Over77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over69c49.78$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.438242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a3c…84c5backed Over52c43.63$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.911675%12 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over69c42.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0215253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4c7…c8e5backed Over52c39.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3e…4d47backed Over60c39.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over50c38.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.394551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.445135.3%18 W · 33 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2438739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under40c36.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5320452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Under40c33.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.224445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe57c…b99bbacked Over69c30.42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.43683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c08…0d49backed Over69c29.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over55c26.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.947262.5%45 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under48c22.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6816340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over52c21.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.317665.8%50 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef96…54dfbacked Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5858…4f37backed Over54c19.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…57c7backed Over63c18.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.