TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Austria to score first vs. Argentina?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,782
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,878

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,782 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0758…1ed3backed Yes0c46,100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes25c1,585$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.798,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes26c1,538$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No77c1,415$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.612,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…ec6abacked Yes27c1,311$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507824.4%19 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadef…02ccbacked Yes23c999.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2307723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes26c993.09$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.270648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b9e…d362backed Yes25c904$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22611436.8%42 W · 72 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No74c866.91$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.465651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No78c859.5$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.681,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No73c805.99$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.572,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No75c710$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.52,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No75c678.6$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.6564443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No69c624.89$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.6359752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes25c620$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15554917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aaf…8a0abacked Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No75c429.82$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.724,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008121%17 W · 64 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0627…f26dbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007532%24 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1f…c113backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf269…b117backed Yes25c357$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.365820.7%12 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No78c301.68$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.22,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No75c300.23$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.321,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bae…a34cbacked Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757327.4%20 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5608…fb85backed Yes24c291.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No76c263.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8735734.5%123 W · 234 L-0.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Yes27c259.29$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.015248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No75c250$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.517953.6%96 W · 83 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No74c228.6$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7464850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No76c223.85$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.322,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb9…1735backed Yes25c212$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.882536%9 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bdb…0371backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509017.8%16 W · 74 L-0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c0…9a4ebacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4818237.4%68 W · 114 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3f…caf9backed Yes27c184.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Yes25c182.01$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.57945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb91…dd87backed Yes27c181.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.41145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes29c181.24$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0524616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf874…7c71backed Yes27c165.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454920.4%10 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x496b…f9c6backed Yes25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35527.7%4 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-54.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x249d…fa95backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No77c119.51$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.491,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9419…c114backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010120.8%21 W · 80 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No75c109$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4535035.7%125 W · 225 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaef…cd2abacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes24c106.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.482,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d69…7540backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015226.3%40 W · 112 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5231…aedcbacked Yes30c100.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320651.9%107 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b4d…c525backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517020%34 W · 136 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbc7…f991backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253826.3%10 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce4…392dbacked Yes27c99.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No72c97.49$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5533937.5%127 W · 212 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No76c90.12$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7834035%119 W · 221 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No75c89.56$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6234438.4%132 W · 212 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ffe…7473backed Yes25c83.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No76c81.7$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4935136.8%129 W · 222 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ef…afaebacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No74c73.66$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.452,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes29c70.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020227.2%55 W · 147 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x137a…a5b5backed Yes29c69.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010248%49 W · 53 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb62…b61abacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No75c64.47$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0933237.3%124 W · 208 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500c…8acdbacked Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155129.4%15 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf966…bb42backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155621.4%12 W · 44 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-48.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No72c52.33$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8732639%127 W · 199 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b2…da2dbacked Yes28c49.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146040%24 W · 36 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba9a…6fbebacked Yes29c49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.21728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73c7…c526backed Yes35c45.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1144…4b04backed No76c41.1$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8616349.7%81 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8123…f127backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013531.9%43 W · 92 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ba…952ebacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-52.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d98…6594backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.236335.8%130 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbef8…bdcabacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid+108.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…d98fbacked Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44951%25 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7b8…b31cbacked Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.45832.8%19 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d84…9d49backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61bd…c3c8backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10185.6%1 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick20cpaid-91.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x718f…1dc3backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016342.3%69 W · 94 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ea…91b3backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No73c34.95$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4134238.6%132 W · 210 L-1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6040…4c57backed No74c29.59$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.592277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+41.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No76c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.131,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No75c24.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.073,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09fe…76eebacked No74c21.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6517856.2%100 W · 78 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa58c…56e3backed No70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67572%54 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.895037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked No77c19.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5219356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No76c18.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.422,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.654859.5%326 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9f…a686backed No74c14.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8618473.4%135 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No75c14.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6561752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.