Fifa International · resolved market
Austria to score first vs. Argentina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc88f8ff942e04cfa503d43ad315fa170209d846691d90e17eeaa815f5c09ca9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0758…1ed3backed Yes | 0c | 46,100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 1,585$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.79 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 26c | 1,538$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 77c | 1,415$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.61 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ec6abacked Yes | 27c | 1,311$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…02ccbacked Yes | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 26c | 993.09$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.2 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d362backed Yes | 25c | 904$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 866.91$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.4 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 78c | 859.5$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.68 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 73c | 805.99$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.57 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 710$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 75c | 678.6$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.65 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 69c | 624.89$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.63 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 25c | 620$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaf…8a0abacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 429.82$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0627…f26dbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1f…c113backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf269…b117backed Yes | 25c | 357$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 78c | 301.68$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 75c | 300.23$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…a34cbacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…fb85backed Yes | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 76c | 263.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Yes | 27c | 259.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 75c | 250$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 74c | 228.6$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 76c | 223.85$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb9…1735backed Yes | 25c | 212$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…0371backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c0…9a4ebacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…caf9backed Yes | 27c | 184.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Yes | 25c | 182.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…dd87backed Yes | 27c | 181.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 29c | 181.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…7c71backed Yes | 27c | 165.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496b…f9c6backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249d…fa95backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 77c | 119.51$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…c114backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 75c | 109$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…cd2abacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 24c | 106.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7540backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…aedcbacked Yes | 30c | 100.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…c525backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…f991backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce4…392dbacked Yes | 27c | 99.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 72c | 97.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 76c | 90.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 75c | 89.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffe…7473backed Yes | 25c | 83.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 76c | 81.7$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…afaebacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 74c | 73.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 29c | 70.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 27.2%55 W · 147 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137a…a5b5backed Yes | 29c | 69.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb62…b61abacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 75c | 64.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…8acdbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf966…bb42backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 72c | 52.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b2…da2dbacked Yes | 28c | 49.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba9a…6fbebacked Yes | 29c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c7…c526backed Yes | 35c | 45.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed No | 76c | 41.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…f127backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ba…952ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d98…6594backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef8…bdcabacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…d98fbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…b31cbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…9d49backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bd…c3c8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…1dc3backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ea…91b3backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 73c | 34.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…4c57backed No | 74c | 29.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 75c | 24.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 74c | 21.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 77c | 19.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 76c | 18.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 75c | 14.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austria to score first vs. Argentina?this page
- Argentina to score first vs. Austria?Yes won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.