Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina to score first vs. Austria?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5050317052a9fb8cbaca4628306d7696f73aa3df770b9a3615e5cb2fb63541c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9a6…4fcfbacked Yes | 78c | 4,126$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.95 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 23c | 3,730$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.88 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 29c | 3,294$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.89 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 30c | 2,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed No | 29c | 1,798$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.53 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 71c | 1,605$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.8 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…a310backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 30c | 1,135$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.14 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 70c | 985.06$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.78 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 29c | 954.83$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.9 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 30c | 866.9$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.65 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 29c | 604.21$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.22 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…81c8backed Yes | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 4c | 445.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Yes | 71c | 431.83$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.23 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 70c | 343.65$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 11c | 338.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 20c | 326.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 30c | 300.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked No | 30c | 253.23$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 29c | 229.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 30c | 199.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…aad8backed Yes | 71c | 182.65$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 26c | 170.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 70c | 166.84$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 28c | 158.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 8c | 154.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 30c | 153.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…4e9abacked Yes | 72c | 150.94$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5f…085abacked Yes | 68c | 147.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 70c | 145$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed No | 67c | 142.86$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 29c | 141.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -13.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…4497backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aae…b7d0backed Yes | 71c | 140.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 115 | 53.9%62 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b69…9fa4backed Yes | 71c | 132.39$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 31c | 128.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 72c | 124.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 14c | 112.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 35c | 111.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 71c | 109.76$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 31c | 103.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…b1f8backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2341…3535backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 29c | 99.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd37…0a65backed Yes | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…53f9backed Yes | 68c | 85.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 26c | 82.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 20c | 77.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 36c | 72.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…47d8backed Yes | 69c | 72.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…c531backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…cd34backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…0145backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 31c | 69.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d3…c92fbacked No | 30c | 69.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…6cebbacked Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 152 | 17.1%26 W · 126 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 31c | 62.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3729…37b3backed Yes | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 31c | 51.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…ed92backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…68b8backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd85f…0a2cbacked Yes | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 65c | 43.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b64…0decbacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38a9…572fbacked Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b5…ea26backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…914fbacked Yes | 71c | 41.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d1…8d9dbacked Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…24b1backed Yes | 69c | 38.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3a…ee18backed Yes | 71c | 36.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 240 | 50%120 W · 120 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eeb…4491backed Yes | 71c | 30.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…910cbacked Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4b…3568backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…34d6backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…6253backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…973cbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…129cbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…f80ebacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e2…ca0cbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…a582backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…7816backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040c…1b97backed Yes | 71c | 27.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Yes | 69c | 27.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a5…e1d1backed Yes | 71c | 26.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…95acbacked Yes | 69c | 26.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b6…17cdbacked Yes | 77c | 25.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…9603backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…9b5abacked Yes | 78c | 25.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…a137backed Yes | 69c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62b…1f5cbacked Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e22…1c81backed Yes | 68c | 22.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…470bbacked Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina to score first vs. Austria?this page
- Argentina vs. Austria: Neither team to score first?No won
- Austria to score first vs. Argentina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.