Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe6e0701421ca73e1d76f86b9c441f26b2b316fd429a8f9753424ec4e5d8c392
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Under | 41c | 2,232$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 7c | 1,401$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Over | 48c | 416.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 16c | 407.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 51c | 349.23$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 78c | 316.3$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Under | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 54c | 262.78$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.88 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 20c | 255.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9babbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 7c | 173.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 12c | 168$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Under | 15c | 160.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Under | 52c | 155$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 7c | 149.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 61c | 147.74$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…efffbacked Over | 62c | 136.26$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 58c | 101.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 15c | 97.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +79%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474e…b0fdbacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Over | 77c | 76.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…91aabacked Over | 49c | 44.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Over | 61c | 44.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 41c | 37.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 59c | 34.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 59c | 34.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1213…776fbacked Over | 60c | 25.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19c…a6debacked Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe389…8faabacked Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb5…d972backed Over | 64c | 17.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 0.5this page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-2.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.