Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cc96971c545b7df5465d9aecc7caaac83a18feb677eb67353369a6fb0266c1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 1c | 32,190$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.31 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 7c | 8,137$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.59 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 8c | 7,813$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.04 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 4c | 7,513$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.46 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…d989backed Over | 8c | 6,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 128 | 10.9%14 W · 114 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 1c | 5,074$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca62…e6b2backed Over | 4c | 4,945$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 6c | 4,487$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.22 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 8c | 3,817$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 3c | 3,182$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 1c | 2,789$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 6c | 2,590$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.03 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Over | 2c | 2,521$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 324 | 33.6%109 W · 215 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…5ea3backed Over | 8c | 2,406$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.47 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 7c | 2,217$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.83 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…0587backed Over | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655a…8fadbacked Over | 1c | 1,901$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 107 | 15%16 W · 91 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 2c | 1,423$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Over | 1c | 935.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 4c | 801.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Over | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 8c | 623.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 6c | 605.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf663…5654backed Over | 9c | 555.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…cfb2backed Over | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 6c | 450.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Over | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866b…1bcdbacked Over | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Over | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…3e58backed Over | 8c | 237.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 109 | 11%12 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 6c | 215.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 7c | 181.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 328 | 37.2%122 W · 206 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4519…49e4backed Over | 9c | 178.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1a…fea4backed Over | 9c | 155.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Colombia (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Colombia (-5.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Switzerland (-5.5)Colombia won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.