TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$246,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$252,192

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,501 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6320…7e94backed Over9c15,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30038817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over9c11,897$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.541,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked Over10c10,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0508316.9%14 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2723…8d2dbacked Over9c8,837$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003125.8%8 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+58.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over7c7,867$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.724,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over8c7,843$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.137223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Over9c6,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54012810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over3c5,892$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8210729%31 W · 76 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb36…a357backed Over10c5,737$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.717211.1%8 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over3c5,212$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.923,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over8c5,200$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41669826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaba…cf38backed Over6c4,808$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.466647%31 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over9c4,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36019037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0739…b151backed Over9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over3c3,299$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.38626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over9c3,187$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.831,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over8c3,150$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25260511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over10c3,100$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over9c3,044$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.098,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…7c86backed Over8c2,543$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.315320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe459…7cb2backed Over9c2,448$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.36330.2%19 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b9…7e74backed Over1c2,200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-73.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Over9c1,944$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17514317.5%25 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Over2c1,494$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253616.7%6 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Over2c1,400$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318713.8%12 W · 75 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…6049backed Over9c1,333$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011316.8%19 W · 94 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over8c1,131$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.32,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…b180backed Over9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.996929%20 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over9c1,076$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8512117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe600…f923backed Over10c1,021$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.092626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+63.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked Over10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014242.3%60 W · 82 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Over9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9013112.2%16 W · 115 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over8c999.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Over8c891.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.411226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over9c774.41$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.652,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over8c739.35$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.531,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1708…0619backed Over9c722.22$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655534.5%19 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over9c717.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5922919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over3c710.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.312,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Over9c645$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.051567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ad9…7e66backed Over4c618.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.737631.6%24 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over9c566.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5143819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Over9c554.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.923815.8%6 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over9c544.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4933544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x280e…b409backed Over10c504.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012818%23 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ec…c5d6backed Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507514.7%11 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over9c499.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4529813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over7c467.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.322,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over9c443.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9643826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3270…e011backed Over4c425$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-50.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4929…f37abacked Over10c403.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406434.4%22 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over8c384.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.311,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over9c357.76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6478835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a0d…0d74backed Over9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308720.7%18 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed Over9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309839.8%39 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72e0…08eebacked Over9c327$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4326243.1%113 W · 149 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Over9c311.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2823528.1%66 W · 169 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked Over9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Over10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over8c271.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7271939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Over8c268$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.248318.1%15 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Over10c266.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2619038.9%74 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6406…4539backed Over10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed Over9c233.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2125937.5%97 W · 162 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over9c221.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.921,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ace…0f16backed Over9c211.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205313.2%7 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+81.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c5…24d1backed Over6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119020%18 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f43…e4aebacked Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208118.5%15 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3c…4985backed Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-71.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c12…62ccbacked Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206926.1%18 W · 51 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe059…daaebacked Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011720.5%24 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over9c199.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1846743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Over6c172.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.221738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaee3…b16bbacked Over9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153112.9%4 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5a3…1c2dbacked Over10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-40%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6b…3e58backed Over10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510911%12 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over9c133.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0632837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c5…d269backed Over9c122.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3da…0088backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013826.8%37 W · 101 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1032928%92 W · 237 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a48…7a4bbacked Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc9…616dbacked Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106219.4%12 W · 50 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-50.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.