TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,766 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa77…15a5backed Los Angeles Dodgers66c17,049$11,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,791.2723854.6%130 W · 108 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Athletics34c15,381$5,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,225.0110,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Athletics0c11,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1423351.1%119 W · 114 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,500.1449051%250 W · 240 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c10,000$5,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,719.9844851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Athletics45c8,710$3,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,953.7711,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c4,717$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.943551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Athletics48c4,541$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.356,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Athletics47c4,496$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.1273650.7%373 W · 363 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Athletics46c3,696$1,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.5212,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics48c3,406$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.635,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Athletics47c3,308$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.853,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001,07848.1%518 W · 560 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c2,105$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.455050%25 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Athletics34c1,991$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.968,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Athletics50c1,939$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.162,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics38c1,824$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.124,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd006…2247backed Los Angeles Dodgers66c1,495$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.34366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers50c1,269$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.742,31052.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ab…0d2dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c1,249$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.0611454.4%62 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c1,178$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.2317546.9%82 W · 93 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Athletics48c1,111$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.2887453%463 W · 411 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Athletics50c1,071$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.51,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbff…d177backed Athletics48c1,036$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.31546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Athletics47c999.99$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.041,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.418958.7%111 W · 78 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.045844.8%26 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7693…470fbacked Athletics51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25021354.5%116 W · 97 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Athletics48c481$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8857753.2%307 W · 270 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Athletics51c452.55$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.821252.4%111 W · 101 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics49c424.33$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.632,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Athletics50c395$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.571044.5%316 W · 394 L-23.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c320.28$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2854654.9%300 W · 246 L+12.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14759252.7%312 W · 280 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Athletics47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Los Angeles Dodgers70c298.79$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7935056%196 W · 154 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c285.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4123145.5%105 W · 126 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c284$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13466748.7%325 W · 342 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0218252.2%95 W · 87 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a70…4865backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.027358.9%43 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Athletics50c251.3$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.453,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Athletics48c249.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.752,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Athletics51c240.49$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6520654.4%112 W · 94 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.772751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Los Angeles Dodgers67c225.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.141,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c205.88$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8868942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9678…594bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c3e…d412backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6817557.1%100 W · 75 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c162.96$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9616246.3%75 W · 87 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Los Angeles Dodgers65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8513748.2%66 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Athletics47c141$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.272,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics33c139.16$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.234,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Athletics41c112$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.651,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c102.49$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.558,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers49c101.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7939149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Athletics48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.52,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4772154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c81.13$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1318955.6%105 W · 84 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Athletics47c80.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9327345.4%124 W · 149 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Athletics47c79.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.673849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Athletics47c75.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2844553.5%238 W · 207 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c74$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7846854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Athletics49c66.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.783,84142.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0430446.4%141 W · 163 L-25.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3813348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7810…b011backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c60.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.386149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5612957.4%74 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74df…2b11backed Athletics47c52.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.758050%40 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Athletics48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2567444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x721c…d585backed Los Angeles Dodgers72c44.05$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.427754.5%42 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b5…5b1ebacked Athletics47c43.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Athletics56c42.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.817255.8%96 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Athletics51c39.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.32,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682a…c87dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.863850%19 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7422657.1%129 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Athletics47c37.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6415052.7%79 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.116345.4%74 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Athletics47c34.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers66c32.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.025,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Athletics46c31.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3534451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Los Angeles Dodgers66c28.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.651,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe3…6872backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c25.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.863847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Athletics45c22.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0947552.4%249 W · 226 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3056…2b09backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.86357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.