Asian League · resolved market
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34a9afd42637558d08176b78a1f19aa308c37adfa7776d5a401c12ef7438ce2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Yes | 50c | 137,190$68,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,805.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 26,799$12,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,295.75 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…82fdbacked Yes | 51c | 25,292$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,292.05 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed No | 50c | 18,463$9,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,299.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 50c | 14,142$7,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,071.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 45c | 13,351$6,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,071.64 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 50c | 13,089$6,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,552.89 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 9,200$4,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,593.59 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked No | 50c | 8,773$4,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,386.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes | 45c | 6,585$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,621.98 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 6,398$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.76 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Yes | 50c | 5,634$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 50c | 5,132$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.33 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 5,129$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.13 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6426…ff48backed No | 50c | 4,692$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 4,152$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.74 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 50c | 4,031$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.51 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 52c | 3,651$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.82 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…a91ebacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd4…51b1backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 50c | 1,911$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.75 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…1d4cbacked No | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 26c | 1,642$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.66 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 50c | 1,401$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 50c | 1,400$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No | 20c | 1,365$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.02 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 53c | 1,298$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.78 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed No | 50c | 1,280$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.98 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…3241backed No | 35c | 1,149$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 50c | 1,071$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.26 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 57c | 1,069$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.55 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 65c | 1,048$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.96 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 43c | 1,046$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.5 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 44c | 963.82$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.28 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked No | 38c | 842.16$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Yes | 50c | 835.94$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.97 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 43c | 813.93$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.94 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…d8acbacked No | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 43c | 791.76$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.3 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 770$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.72 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 50c | 630.81$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.41 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…1a45backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed No | 50c | 599.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 46c | 575$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.71 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 53c | 499.95$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.97 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Yes | 50c | 430.43$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 430$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.43 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 57c | 379.37$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.87 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…80f7backed Yes | 48c | 304.6$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 51c | 299.29$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 55c | 271.66$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.43 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Yes | 50c | 270$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 13c | 263.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 60c | 260.49$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.51 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 255$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed No | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 254.11$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 48c | 206.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…ba85backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 43c | 199.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 43c | 188$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.55 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes | 51c | 186.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 50c | 185.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked No | 55c | 185.31$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 50c | 183.54$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.77 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 61c | 179.72$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 51c | 174.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 50c | 173.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 50c | 169.8$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 46c | 169.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 166.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yes | 56c | 152.26$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2d…5116backed Yes | 51c | 143.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed Yes | 78c | 141.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked No | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 50c | 131.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed No | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…20eabacked Yes | 51c | 129.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…77babacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…e227backed No | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.