Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-05-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd71199a8fd938e4533c7d2808e657996d889d18ff9510c91d751ba75336e899c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 3c | 10,240$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.77 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 47c | 7,732$3,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.12 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 53c | 7,348$3,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.03 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 33c | 2,072$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.48 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Yes | 49c | 2,013$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.19 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 1c | 1,786$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 27c | 1,633$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.49 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 52c | 1,433$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.61 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 1,315$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.25 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 51c | 980.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.38 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 51c | 882.33$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.34 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Yes | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 51c | 753$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.03 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 53c | 691.76$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.13 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Yes | 74c | 649.58$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 2c | 625.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 2c | 586.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 48c | 576.2$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.02 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 51c | 554.99$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 49c | 451.29$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.68 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 51c | 434.51$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.91 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 51c | 355$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.95 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 48c | 320$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 284$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.32 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 51c | 240$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 53c | 202.05$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.96 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 47c | 175.34$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 46c | 165$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 158.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 49c | 136.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 73c | 133.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 79c | 119$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 47c | 111.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 49c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 49c | 100.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 48c | 100.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 49c | 84.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 70 | 75.7%53 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 20c | 72.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f48…c790backed Yes | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +49%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 53c | 52.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…8319backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…bcf9backed No | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Yes | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 48c | 35.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Yes | 75c | 32.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 49c | 31.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 31.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b5…5b1ebacked Yes | 50c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 47c | 30.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Yes | 52c | 26.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 52c | 24.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-05-11?this page
- Will CD Tondela vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-05-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.