Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-05-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ea90adcb67368a795d8b9a5996cbb1eef58837f6df298fe21e86978a68c1711
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 8c | 22,130$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.64 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 3,344$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.62 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 2,824$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.08 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 1,554$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.75 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…b3e6backed Yes | 22c | 1,545$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +542.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 22c | 1,457$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.96 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 1,269$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.69 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 78c | 1,200$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 934.7$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 79c | 826.27$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.36 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Yes | 25c | 805.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 450$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 21c | 449.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 79c | 441.59$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 22c | 310.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 79c | 225.25$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 22c | 203.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 13c | 187.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 22c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 22c | 125.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 21c | 120.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 118.37$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 78c | 98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 22c | 92.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…e9f1backed Yes | 22c | 86.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 78c | 75.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 78c | 72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…428abacked Yes | 22c | 61.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 59.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a7…c838backed Yes | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 79c | 48.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…5c42backed No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 78c | 28.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 78c | 21.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 79c | 20.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-05-11?this page
- Will CD Tondela vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-05-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.