Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Tondela vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x797458ac4c91d958bd91be4b3401460c41320fff7a60bedb72232ac1b9bd1d4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 29c | 22,131$6,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,523.18 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 4,369$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.58 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 4,027$2,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.82 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 3,738$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.65 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 2,794$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.56 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 71c | 1,080$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.1 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 589.33$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.86 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 550$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 71c | 539.82$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.55 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 71c | 500$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 440$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.58 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 29c | 359.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 224.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 73c | 222.59$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 71c | 195.95$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 187$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 168.41$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 21c | 138.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 72c | 138$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked No | 73c | 127.19$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 120$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 117.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 27c | 102.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 70c | 98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 71c | 78.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Yes | 30c | 75.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 71c | 70.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 63.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 71c | 62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Yes | 30c | 57.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked No | 73c | 20.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked No | 71c | 14.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Tondela vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-05-11?Yes won
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-05-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.