TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,450,550
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,457,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,450,550 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa136…97debacked No48c1,215,632$578,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636,762.37560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes52c475,927$247,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247,689.6413353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes52c225,000$118,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118,00013748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Yes52c204,284$107,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,230.771947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes57c45,745$25,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,969.356746.3%31 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes52c43,260$22,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,535.642,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Yes52c30,000$15,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,6002657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes53c24,500$12,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,88016651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes53c17,379$9,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,194.542,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed Yes22c16,493$3,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,605.393148.4%15 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick35cpaid+34.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes52c15,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,80035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes53c15,000$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,95013348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes48c14,376$6,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,927.0188635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Yes54c13,889$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5004555.6%25 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes53c12,300$6,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,555.8819239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes53c10,500$5,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5655848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Yes53c9,434$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes54c9,314$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes53c9,219$4,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,894.0817745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Yes52c9,085$4,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,723.969350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes54c7,152$3,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,860.1539555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed No55c7,044$3,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,145.892050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Yes52c6,900$3,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5881631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes52c5,892$3,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,063.639061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes52c5,351$2,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,782.53855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes53c3,230$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.983148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Yes54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6206660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes52c2,596$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.5159247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes54c2,299$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.4984549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No54c2,289$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.5276842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes43c2,159$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.241,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes46c2,117$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.810144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes51c2,108$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0758626.7%23 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No52c2,099$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.567851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Yes52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0401442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes40c1,675$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.3653344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Yes53c1,589$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.915358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No43c1,578$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.251,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No47c1,464$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.6575850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed No43c1,400$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes54c1,389$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7504845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed Yes53c1,370$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.171225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes53c1,200$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.2125544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No50c1,060$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.4820059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5705949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5306350.8%32 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.992755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010655.7%59 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Yes54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006866.2%45 W · 23 L+9.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes54c925.92$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006142.6%26 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Yes55c924.12$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.692245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes18c918.35$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3172142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes25c872.83$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2207223.6%17 W · 55 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d0e…1461backed Yes52c862.87$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.69425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes45c843.08$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.027050%35 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No43c837.05$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.9835941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes54c833.33$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4507048.6%34 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No57c777.07$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.8874644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes53c774.41$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.2633551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Yes54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012561.6%77 W · 48 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes57c701.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-41.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Yes52c669.16$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.156743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No48c668$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.365851.7%30 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Yes54c648.15$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed Yes53c580$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.41729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No44c559.58$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9959445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Yes57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes54c505.13$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.777960.8%48 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x362f…f6b9backed No48c504.75$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes47c500.97$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.656,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes55c500$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.0418352.5%96 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No51c493.41$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.4110950.5%55 W · 54 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes55c490.91$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27013552.6%71 W · 64 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes42c479.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes52c457.96$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.1440655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked Yes53c451$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.521553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6725348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20813554.8%74 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Yes53c394.25$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.327060%42 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Yes52c384.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009955.6%55 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No45c380$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2095335.8%19 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No53c375.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.547759.7%46 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Yes54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes49c357.37$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes52c351.75$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.912245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Yes52c346.15$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6e…99eabacked No45c336.16$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes47c319.06$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.964837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes48c297.65$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.879949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c291.57$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.214,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Yes53c291.49$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.491457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Yes55c252.81$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.054963.3%31 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807545.3%34 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ced…9753backed Yes46c244.57$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.36944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes54c240$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2896443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.