TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$217,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,860

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,536 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6501…1220backed Yes47c173,990$81,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,179.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c84,415$39,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,554.814,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c32,462$19,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,609.346,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No63c27,192$17,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,059.7188635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No62c11,737$7,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,478.7276842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes49c10,000$4,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,863.9827235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No60c9,783$5,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,913.047851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No59c5,971$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,470.82,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No63c3,751$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.421,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c3,373$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.051,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7806660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes27c2,903$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.1240655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c2,727$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.242,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No46c2,700$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.1421250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86f5…8d50backed Yes43c2,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No46c1,948$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.9269772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No70c1,926$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.8620059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No46c1,219$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.2696645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No73c834.46$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.537050%35 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6871…e9dcbacked Yes26c770$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+62.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No72c738.67$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.8318453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No66c691.32$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.7272142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No63c691$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.329250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes30c668.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012233.6%41 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…323abacked Yes2c516.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes26c493$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.181,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No72c409.99$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9518352.5%96 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10425544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No61c318.53$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9218358.5%107 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No51c314.44$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1553344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes29c310.34$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9023632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6914949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c277.53$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1680953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked No65c276.34$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.595848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Yes42c254.76$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+68.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No63c221.38$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.914963.3%31 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No46c208.7$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.713250.8%67 W · 65 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No60c202.15$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2114463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5259645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No62c199.71$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3722645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No68c196.61$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.797759.7%46 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed No53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681625%4 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No59c169.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4828859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No61c136$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4824557.6%141 W · 104 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No47c126$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.46648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe45d…f77ebacked Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No70c115.32$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.166560%39 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No62c108.26$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2839555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes29c106.46$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.928052.5%42 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No61c105.09$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.958037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No58c101.25$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5236545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1119834.8%69 W · 129 L-17.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked No63c98.2$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8218463%116 W · 68 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No73c98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.467361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fe8…8388backed Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fb2…eb78backed Yes26c92.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.03728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No57c87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6327948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No54c86.91$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3311655.2%64 W · 52 L+13.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ae7…1eebbacked Yes36c82.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb0…bfbfbacked No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.421060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes29c69.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9541956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa13b…60c0backed No72c69.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No73c63$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0141040.5%166 W · 244 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No74c60.13$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8921250.9%108 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1515444.8%69 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee5b…dac8backed No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.63253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes25c57.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4415738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked No68c56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.161172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes27c55.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.941,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No59c54.06$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2212963.6%82 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No61c53.11$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8322057.7%127 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c50.25$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.071,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2712045%54 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.533551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.54759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No75c49.08$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2711265.2%73 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed No62c47.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.084841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No62c45.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1712561.6%77 W · 48 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No62c44.93$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0410655.7%59 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x963f…4487backed No72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.671656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb2…e33fbacked Yes37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151090%9 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick57cpaid+72.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes26c39.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.165635.7%20 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ced…9753backed Yes31c38.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.91944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No46c38.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7473258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe4f…a63ebacked No71c37.14$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked No62c36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.682962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No66c33.42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.274644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No59c30.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.268644.2%38 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No57c29.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7257150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8568…ccf1backed Yes38c29.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.13633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed No70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0ae…02ffbacked No62c28.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.831442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed No64c28.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.164637%17 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x928d…c482backed No46c27.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.851984.2%16 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+57.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked No74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.035860.3%35 W · 23 L-8.2wins-0.14per pick75cpaid-18.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No62c26.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.967327.4%20 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0328…f8ddbacked Yes45c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No74c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2435661.2%218 W · 138 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.