TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe4f…a63e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT7448.6%36 W · 38 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF W15 Campos do Jordão 2 Women: Laura Badia vs Clara Borrascabacked Clara Borrasca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Oscar Brown vs Esteban Talavera Cortesbacked Oscar Brown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.65
Roehampton: Yuta Shimizu vs Anton Matusevichbacked Yuta Shimizu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
ITF W15 Logrono Women: Megan Mae Root vs Daria Shubinabacked Megan Mae Root · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Kingston: Harold Mayot vs Gustavo Heidebacked Harold Mayot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$8.52
ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: David Wallechner vs Martin Soukalbacked Martin Soukal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Artem Alekseychuk vs Tiago Boschmansbacked Artem Alekseychuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
ITF W35 Krakow Women: Salma Drugdova vs Darya Velikovabacked Salma Drugdova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
ITF W35 Krakow Women: Oliwia Kadzielska vs Sara Husarbacked Oliwia Kadzielska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.49
ITF W35 Verbier Women: Elena Grekul vs Sofia Alekseevabacked Elena Grekul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.66
Kingston: Lucas Andrade Da Silva vs Pietro Orlando Fellinbacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.93
ITF M15 Warsaw Men: Robert Strombachs vs Vincent Reisachbacked Robert Strombachs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$7.74
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.84
Hamburg: Matej Dodig vs Marvin Moellerbacked Marvin Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$3.43
ITF W35 Vigo Women: Yufei Ren vs Britt Du Preebacked Yufei Ren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$9.51
ITF M15 Turku Men: Amit Vales vs Oskari Paldaniusbacked Oskari Paldanius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$7.53
Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanovbacked Khumoun Sultanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Sergey Fominbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.69
ITF M15 Targu Jiu Men: Gabriel Ghetu vs Vlad Cristian Breazubacked Gabriel Ghetu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni vs Ida Wobkerbacked Ida Wobker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$8.98
ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Yushan Shaobacked Yushan Shao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
Hamburg: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$18.24
ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Oana Georgeta Simion vs Ida Wobkerbacked Ida Wobker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.18
ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Xiran Lan vs Yushan Shaobacked Yushan Shao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$7.17
Cincinnati Open: Zachary Svajda vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.21
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-10.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+200.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+200.6%+$23.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.