Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Yushan Shao
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc592d8b284c7d977efe6e6f6cd50174b3780036870c3ae856a31c1a445c5e1d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chengyiyi Yuanof Chengyiyi Yuan, Yushan Shao
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 37c | 11,667$4,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,320.57 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Yushan Shao | 62c | 5,558$3,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461.15 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…ae4bbacked Yushan Shao | 51c | 3,213$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.69 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Yushan Shao | 69c | 2,180$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 47c | 1,583$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.17 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 38c | 1,211$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.52 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yushan Shao | 68c | 1,073$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.65 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Yushan Shao | 73c | 868.12$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yushan Shao | 24c | 849.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 464 | 35.3%164 W · 300 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 26c | 844.02$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.1 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yushan Shao | 58c | 701$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.96 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yushan Shao | 68c | 592$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.89 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Yushan Shao | 77c | 385$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.45 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 51c | 364.4$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.77 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yushan Shao | 77c | 351.74$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.81 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 62c | 351.67$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.11 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yushan Shao | 75c | 336.19$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.45 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Yushan Shao | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Yushan Shao | 75c | 265.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yushan Shao | 41c | 246.02$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Yushan Shao | 57c | 244.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 45c | 169.37$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Yushan Shao | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Yushan Shao | 69c | 121.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Yushan Shao | 71c | 110.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…ba8bbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 34c | 104.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…fe68backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 53c | 102.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 34c | 99.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Yushan Shao | 67c | 89.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 28c | 86.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 38c | 84.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…89c6backed Yushan Shao | 71c | 80.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yushan Shao | 54c | 80.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 45c | 78.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 39c | 78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Yushan Shao | 71c | 75.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Yushan Shao | 77c | 75.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Yushan Shao | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Yushan Shao | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Yushan Shao | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Yushan Shao | 73c | 65.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Yushan Shao | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Yushan Shao | 77c | 61.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 30c | 61.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Yushan Shao | 69c | 56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Yushan Shao | 65c | 44.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Yushan Shao | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Yushan Shao | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Yushan Shao | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Yushan Shao | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Yushan Shao | 69c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 55c | 34.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 60c | 31.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…9a3abacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 34c | 29.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Yushan Shao | 64c | 27.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 39c | 26.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yushan Shao | 72c | 25.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 53c | 24.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…a63ebacked Yushan Shao | 58c | 23.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yushan Shao | 49c | 22.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 79c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Yushan Shao | 69c | 19.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yushan Shao | 69c | 16.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Yushan Shao | 65c | 16.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Yushan Shao | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Yushan Shaothis page
- ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Completed Match: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Yushan ShaoYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.