TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3674…fe68

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Kumstat (-1.5) vs Tseng (+1.5)backed Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$34.03
ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Yushan Shaobacked Chengyiyi Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.06
Hamburg: Carlos Taberner vs Jan Kumstatbacked Carlos Taberner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.25
ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Yu Jun Linbacked Yu Jun Lin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.08
Cincinnati Open: Katie Boulter vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.04
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.56
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$38.87
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$24.12
ITF Chacabuco: Ana Sofia Sanchez vs Victoria Bosiobacked Victoria Bosio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.81
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
ITF Astana: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Mukund Sasikumarbacked Mukund Sasikumar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.12
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinkabacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.36
National Bank Open: Caty McNally vs Alexandra Ealabacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.05
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.42
ITF Southaven: Kaylan Bigun vs Maximus Dussaultbacked Kaylan Bigun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.04
National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$57.45
ITF Londrina: Maximo Zeitune vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alvesbacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$40.75
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+130.4%+$55.63
ITF Londrina: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Carlos Maria Zaratebacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.92
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$20.73
National Bank Open: Iva Jovic vs Alina Korneevabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
ITF Leipzig: Caijsa Hennemann vs Valentina Steinerbacked Valentina Steiner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.58
The Memphis Classic: Camila Osorio vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
All 24 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.85
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.33
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.