Tennis · resolved market
ITF Leipzig: Caijsa Hennemann vs Valentina Steiner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4421de334dfe4da0070b1e3dae006bd1ed6028c22428c33d1d47c9c5d8407a27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Caijsa Hennemannof Caijsa Hennemann, Valentina Steiner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Valentina Steiner | 6c | 43,042$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.1 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Valentina Steiner | 3c | 10,401$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.24 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Caijsa Hennemann | 60c | 8,053$4,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.99 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valentina Steiner | 31c | 5,000$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.63 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Valentina Steiner | 18c | 1,200$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…f13abacked Valentina Steiner | 17c | 1,059$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed Valentina Steiner | 41c | 663.75$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.14 | 198 | 41.9%83 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Valentina Steiner | 45c | 420.11$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Valentina Steiner | 13c | 313.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Valentina Steiner | 8c | 299.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Valentina Steiner | 43c | 297.86$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.82 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Valentina Steiner | 30c | 266.38$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 439 | 47.2%207 W · 232 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Valentina Steiner | 6c | 261.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 720 | 47.9%345 W · 375 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Caijsa Hennemann | 58c | 241.62$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Valentina Steiner | 7c | 239.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Valentina Steiner | 36c | 159.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Caijsa Hennemann | 60c | 152.12$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Valentina Steiner | 8c | 151.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…2fd1backed Caijsa Hennemann | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Valentina Steiner | 23c | 121.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Valentina Steiner | 43c | 113.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Caijsa Hennemann | 60c | 107.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 471 | 48.2%227 W · 244 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…b0efbacked Valentina Steiner | 10c | 99.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Valentina Steiner | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Caijsa Hennemann | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Valentina Steiner | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Caijsa Hennemann | 78c | 77.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 79c | 74.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Valentina Steiner | 26c | 64.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…fe68backed Valentina Steiner | 33c | 58.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…c6f3backed Valentina Steiner | 40c | 46.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Caijsa Hennemann | 61c | 44.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1,254 | 52.1%653 W · 601 L | +45.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Caijsa Hennemann | 73c | 38.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 228 | 72.4%165 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Valentina Steiner | 38c | 35.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Valentina Steiner | 34c | 33.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Caijsa Hennemann | 60c | 33.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Caijsa Hennemann | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 416 | 64.4%268 W · 148 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 66c | 26.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1,085 | 73.7%800 W · 285 L | +40.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Caijsa Hennemann | 54c | 18.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Caijsa Hennemann | 79c | 14.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 77c | 13.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.