Tennis · resolved market
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzler
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67fbafefe6a162338eee27ffe8b4b6c3f0f40102fb246026767d1860a2f2802b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joel Schwaerzlerof Mathys Erhard, Joel Schwaerzler
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,129,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,214,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,129,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Joel Schwaerzler | 50c | 610,322$303,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307,293.51 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Mathys Erhard | 52c | 421,825$219,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219,600.13 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mathys Erhard | 47c | 95,655$45,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,320.34 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mathys Erhard | 46c | 35,119$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,200.04 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mathys Erhard | 27c | 34,393$9,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,175.39 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Joel Schwaerzler | 50c | 27,797$14,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,795 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Joel Schwaerzler | 79c | 27,532$21,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,904.27 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Joel Schwaerzler | 39c | 25,448$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,448.37 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Mathys Erhard | 59c | 24,404$14,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,318.65 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Mathys Erhard | 43c | 22,903$9,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,801.77 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Joel Schwaerzler | 62c | 17,133$10,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,431.91 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Joel Schwaerzler | 61c | 9,633$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,712.36 | 361 | 45.2%163 W · 198 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Joel Schwaerzler | 44c | 9,398$4,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,252.75 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mathys Erhard | 58c | 7,377$4,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,266.82 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf00…1199backed Mathys Erhard | 67c | 7,313$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Mathys Erhard | 48c | 7,292$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Joel Schwaerzler | 42c | 7,084$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,082.17 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Mathys Erhard | 44c | 6,718$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.14 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mathys Erhard | 36c | 4,398$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.43 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Joel Schwaerzler | 61c | 4,072$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.15 | 187 | 31%58 W · 129 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Mathys Erhard | 3c | 3,708$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…e22bbacked Mathys Erhard | 73c | 3,572$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf46…27d9backed Joel Schwaerzler | 56c | 3,387$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Mathys Erhard | 47c | 3,201$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.98 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Joel Schwaerzler | 64c | 3,000$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.34 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Joel Schwaerzler | 72c | 2,941$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.61 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Mathys Erhard | 52c | 2,745$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.62 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Mathys Erhard | 15c | 2,638$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.44 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Mathys Erhard | 41c | 2,621$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.29 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Joel Schwaerzler | 47c | 2,501$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.16 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Mathys Erhard | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Mathys Erhard | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Joel Schwaerzler | 48c | 2,498$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.55 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Joel Schwaerzler | 35c | 2,400$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.97 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Mathys Erhard | 61c | 2,392$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.74 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Mathys Erhard | 39c | 2,355$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.15 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Mathys Erhard | 38c | 2,269$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Joel Schwaerzler | 53c | 2,261$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.52 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Mathys Erhard | 21c | 2,253$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.77 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Mathys Erhard | 52c | 2,221$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.97 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Joel Schwaerzler | 58c | 2,171$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.68 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Joel Schwaerzler | 34c | 2,035$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.22 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Mathys Erhard | 31c | 2,032$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.01 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Joel Schwaerzler | 64c | 2,018$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.32 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Joel Schwaerzler | 56c | 1,859$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.44 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…20e7backed Joel Schwaerzler | 33c | 1,727$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.51 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Joel Schwaerzler | 62c | 1,573$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.85 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Joel Schwaerzler | 45c | 1,519$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.65 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Mathys Erhard | 39c | 1,466$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.52 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Joel Schwaerzler | 67c | 1,396$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.83 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Joel Schwaerzler | 61c | 1,387$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.04 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Mathys Erhard | 72c | 1,304$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.13 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Mathys Erhard | 62c | 1,268$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.16 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca64…4f43backed Mathys Erhard | 40c | 1,265$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.1 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Mathys Erhard | 67c | 1,150$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.5 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 117 | 60.7%71 W · 46 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Joel Schwaerzler | 43c | 1,106$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.31 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…b851backed Joel Schwaerzler | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Mathys Erhard | 72c | 972.22$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…8b4dbacked Mathys Erhard | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 53c | 940.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.24 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Mathys Erhard | 46c | 909.84$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.01 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Mathys Erhard | 52c | 902.42$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.23 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Joel Schwaerzler | 59c | 845.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.04 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Joel Schwaerzler | 27c | 724.67$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.01 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Joel Schwaerzler | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Mathys Erhard | 31c | 721.12$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.92 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Mathys Erhard | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Joel Schwaerzler | 47c | 699.98$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.99 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Joel Schwaerzler | 46c | 684.59$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.68 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Joel Schwaerzler | 39c | 652.28$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.98 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Joel Schwaerzler | 59c | 643.46$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.85 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Mathys Erhard | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mathys Erhard | 41c | 599.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Mathys Erhard | 13c | 599.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Joel Schwaerzler | 52c | 591.27$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.5 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…6b5bbacked Mathys Erhard | 50c | 590$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Mathys Erhard | 13c | 576.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1407…e56cbacked Mathys Erhard | 13c | 576.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…f13abacked Mathys Erhard | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Mathys Erhard | 39c | 552.43$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.95 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…5269backed Mathys Erhard | 39c | 546.59$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.17 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Joel Schwaerzler | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 370 | 44.3%164 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Mathys Erhard | 47c | 520.11$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.4 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…cfa1backed Joel Schwaerzler | 32c | 500$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Joel Schwaerzler | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Mathys Erhard | 34c | 485.79$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.77 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed Joel Schwaerzler | 40c | 471.57$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.39 | 114 | 62.3%71 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 52c | 455.52$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.46 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 60c | 454.14$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.65 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mathys Erhard | 14c | 450.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…6019backed Mathys Erhard | 36c | 441.32$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.32 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 39c | 439.01$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.69 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Mathys Erhard | 17c | 416.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Joel Schwaerzler | 72c | 416$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Mathys Erhard | 51c | 407.84$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Mathys Erhard | 21c | 400$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Joel Schwaerzler | 51c | 394.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.71 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Mathys Erhard | 24c | 387.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…cc31backed Mathys Erhard | 32c | 376.19$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzlerthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Erhard vs SchwaerzlerErhard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.