Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Yu Jun Lin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59cabbb388776f4f263ccb64a0d942248a0fa8e867f261250a045751ab86f033
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chengyiyi Yuanof Chengyiyi Yuan, Yu Jun Lin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70ad…ae4bbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 59c | 16,706$9,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,867.58 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yu Jun Lin | 41c | 11,653$4,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,787.1 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yu Jun Lin | 46c | 4,085$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.44 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 58c | 4,073$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.18 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…eb20backed Yu Jun Lin | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 59c | 2,494$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.56 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 47c | 1,755$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.15 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yu Jun Lin | 52c | 1,236$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.39 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yu Jun Lin | 38c | 940.06$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.52 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…f13abacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 63c | 855.37$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.48 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yu Jun Lin | 61c | 854.11$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.91 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 59c | 750$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yu Jun Lin | 38c | 735.15$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.48 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 51c | 587.06$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.66 | 275 | 56%154 W · 121 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…cf7cbacked Yu Jun Lin | 52c | 509.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.74 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 78c | 491$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yu Jun Lin | 33c | 377.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 68c | 335$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.87 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Yu Jun Lin | 20c | 322.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yu Jun Lin | 42c | 302.45$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yu Jun Lin | 43c | 272.84$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 48c | 199.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yu Jun Lin | 47c | 185.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Yu Jun Lin | 44c | 180.44$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…7409backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 57c | 174.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…1bfabacked Yu Jun Lin | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 64c | 153.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yu Jun Lin | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Yu Jun Lin | 27c | 148.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Yu Jun Lin | 37c | 136.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…c6f3backed Yu Jun Lin | 63c | 130.4$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Yu Jun Lin | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…16c4backed Yu Jun Lin | 43c | 93.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…fe68backed Yu Jun Lin | 50c | 92.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 55c | 87.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…70cebacked Yu Jun Lin | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Yu Jun Lin | 41c | 73.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yu Jun Lin | 44c | 71.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yu Jun Lin | 60c | 68.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…2c46backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 76c | 64.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 48c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…6019backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 61c | 56.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 59c | 51.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 51c | 40.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…4523backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 46c | 34.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…fa96backed Yu Jun Lin | 46c | 32.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yu Jun Lin | 41c | 30.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…e2eabacked Yu Jun Lin | 54c | 30.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ff…66d0backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Yu Jun Lin | 42c | 27.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…6635backed Yu Jun Lin | 54c | 25.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 68c | 21.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed Yu Jun Lin | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Yu Jun Lin | 66c | 16.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Yu Jun Linthis page
- ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Completed Match: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Yu Jun LinYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.