Tennis · resolved market
Kingston: Lucas Andrade Da Silva vs Pietro Orlando Fellin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb231068cbfeabf4743d535e723967890cdec29fbb6358153fa44a1dfb4ae0461
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucas Andrade Da Silvaof Lucas Andrade Da Silva, Pietro Orlando Fellin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 75c | 3,100$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.24 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 68c | 2,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.69 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pietro Orlando Fellin | 27c | 1,783$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.51 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Pietro Orlando Fellin | 15c | 1,132$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.4 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Pietro Orlando Fellin | 33c | 909.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Pietro Orlando Fellin | 33c | 887$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.71 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Pietro Orlando Fellin | 32c | 839.59$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.67 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Pietro Orlando Fellin | 23c | 739$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.48 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 73c | 604.38$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.18 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Pietro Orlando Fellin | 31c | 588.27$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.93 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 73c | 437.25$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 75c | 333.57$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Pietro Orlando Fellin | 32c | 304.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 71c | 304.17$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 64c | 225.28$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe66…285cbacked Pietro Orlando Fellin | 7c | 215.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Pietro Orlando Fellin | 6c | 172.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Pietro Orlando Fellin | 35c | 141.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 79c | 111$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Pietro Orlando Fellin | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 341 | 48.1%164 W · 177 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 65c | 107.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Pietro Orlando Fellin | 16c | 107.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Pietro Orlando Fellin | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Pietro Orlando Fellin | 27c | 98.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…0c31backed Pietro Orlando Fellin | 22c | 92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 71c | 86.23$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 72c | 83.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…fc38backed Pietro Orlando Fellin | 36c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 75c | 64.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Pietro Orlando Fellin | 25c | 55.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Pietro Orlando Fellin | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 68c | 35.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Pietro Orlando Fellin | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 68c | 26.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…a63ebacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 77c | 25.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.