Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Krakow Women: Salma Drugdova vs Darya Velikova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bd038743594c720896df6b262a01cbf40d125345b174a9efe6d7d0d438d90f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Darya Velikovaof Salma Drugdova, Darya Velikova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Salma Drugdova | 2c | 2,434$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Salma Drugdova | 2c | 1,623$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Darya Velikova | 45c | 675.51$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Salma Drugdova | 68c | 530.07$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.6 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Salma Drugdova | 65c | 449.98$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.49 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Salma Drugdova | 14c | 258$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Salma Drugdova | 51c | 170$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Darya Velikova | 62c | 162.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Darya Velikova | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Darya Velikova | 62c | 146.42$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Darya Velikova | 46c | 138.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Darya Velikova | 64c | 131.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Darya Velikova | 20c | 124.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Salma Drugdova | 73c | 115.42$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Darya Velikova | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +269%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Darya Velikova | 22c | 97.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Darya Velikova | 19c | 89.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…4a0abacked Salma Drugdova | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Salma Drugdova | 80c | 57.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Salma Drugdova | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Darya Velikova | 59c | 46.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Darya Velikova | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Darya Velikova | 37c | 33.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Salma Drugdova | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Salma Drugdova | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…a63ebacked Salma Drugdova | 80c | 19.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Salma Drugdova | 80c | 12.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF W35 Krakow Women: Salma Drugdova vs Darya Velikovathis page
- ITF W35 Krakow Women, Qualifying: Completed Match: Salma Drugdova vs Darya VelikovaYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.