Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Oana Georgeta Simion vs Ida Wobker
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff095146d7bd469c332bff1b781bacf066f2661035b019342a24db6c884431a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ida Wobkerof Oana Georgeta Simion, Ida Wobker
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oana Georgeta Simion | 19c | 4,571$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.96 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…f13abacked Oana Georgeta Simion | 40c | 1,965$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.49 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ida Wobker | 74c | 1,010$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.4 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oana Georgeta Simion | 19c | 386.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…dba4backed Ida Wobker | 76c | 188.16$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Oana Georgeta Simion | 26c | 186.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Oana Georgeta Simion | 15c | 178.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Ida Wobker | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 228 | 72.4%165 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oana Georgeta Simion | 20c | 105.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ida Wobker | 77c | 61.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Ida Wobker | 65c | 56.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Ida Wobker | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 281 | 68.7%193 W · 88 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ida Wobker | 78c | 40.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Ida Wobker | 75c | 35.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1,425 | 55.1%785 W · 640 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Oana Georgeta Simion | 32c | 31.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 278 | 32.4%90 W · 188 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Ida Wobker | 65c | 30.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 370 | 65.1%241 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…a63ebacked Ida Wobker | 79c | 29.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Ida Wobker | 61c | 24.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Ida Wobker | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Ida Wobker | 64c | 16.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -17.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3d…83d7backed Ida Wobker | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.