Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni vs Ida Wobker
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73dfa8441316186e345a4ca0184b71247f3de7f15d4b149e0dbabd8e16ee9922
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ida Wobkerof Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni, Ida Wobker
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 16c | 1,179$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.58 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 24c | 1,057$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.26 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 10c | 800.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 19c | 694.15$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 20c | 685.39$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.01 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 19c | 584.16$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 22c | 268.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 21c | 251.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd79e…d969backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 35c | 189.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 17c | 170.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Ida Wobker | 68c | 170$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Ida Wobker | 75c | 158.95$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Ida Wobker | 79c | 125.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 21c | 98.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 19c | 98.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Ida Wobker | 80c | 85.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85ac…fce6backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Ida Wobker | 77c | 59.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Ida Wobker | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…a63ebacked Ida Wobker | 74c | 35.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ida Wobker | 77c | 28.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x822c…a06abacked Ida Wobker | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Ida Wobker | 78c | 23.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Ida Wobker | 80c | 20.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Ida Wobker | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Ida Wobker | 75c | 13.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni vs Ida Wobkerthis page
- ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Completed Match: Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni vs Ida WobkerYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.